Monday, May 20, 2013

US 10yr Note: No Bear Market yet......Bull Flag perhaps?

US 10yr NOTE: Weekly Chart @ Close 05/17/2013
Yield Basis: Until the approximate 2.20% level is breached, absolutely NO sign of a reversal in fortune for US 10 year yields (lower) over the medium term.
That said; the 'true' marker for a longer term Bear Market in US 10 year interest rates remains @ the 62% retrace of the last leg down in yields: @ > 2.85%.
Only then can one have a high degree of confidence that the search for yield has run its course & a reversion to 'normalcy' is underway?