Monday, June 24, 2013

2013's Train Wreck?

Australian ACGB 10yr Note: Close @ 06/21/2013
THE WEEKLY 'elite' know this trade well:
The (100) PUTS on the 5.75% Series July 2022 on a quarterly buying program are now 'making their move'.
A cursory glance @ the 10 year Weekly Chart sees that the 'convergence' zone/ natural level for 10 year Govt. Bonds in OZ is at the 5.50% level.
Let's see if we get there soon as the QE Exit takes ALL before it?

Friday, June 21, 2013

62% retrace on the S&P500 keeps the Correction 'in play'.

S&P500 Daily Chart @ Close 06/20/2013
The benchmark's failure to surmount the 1653 level (61.8%) retrace of the preliminary losses from 1687/ 1598 has kept the Tactical Bearish Trade alive.
Further potential losses now @ 1550 / 1475 should the market 'gods' wish.

Monday, June 10, 2013

DAX: Outside- UP Day Friday says another run @ the Highs.

DAX Daily Chart @ Close 06/07/2013
Whilst the US Indices have not been so pronounced in Signaling a potential run back to the Highs; the German DAX (& CAC40) have both 'said' as much.
S&P500 Resistance @ 1653 (61.8% retrace of the losses from 1687/ 1598) defines how close we 'go' in testing 1687.....or even New Highs to frustrate the recent Put Buying crowd?

Thursday, June 6, 2013

NYSE Signal....so far so good...lower.

NYSE Daily Chart @ Close June 5 2013
The Outside Down Day & Weekly Charts for the NYSE have indeed been prescient in their timing.
The NDX100 was along for the ride (in signalling); the benchmark S&P500 failing to give such clarity.
Further short- term weakness is possible; the immediate Support @ the 38% retrace of gains since Nov. 2012 fast approaching.

Monday, May 27, 2013

NYSE posts an OUTSIDE DOWN Week, not so the S&P500.

NYSE Weekly Close @ 05/24/2013
Just like the NASDAQ100 (NDX); the NYSE has posted an Outside Down Weekly chart pattern.
The benchmark S&P500 has NOT; should we care?
Additionally; the Philly Bank Index ($BKX) has only witnessed an 'Indecisive' Weekly pattern; not enough to 'hang on one's hat on'....yet.