Friday, December 18, 2015

NDX100: An Error; a GAP & then our Audible.......Still Short

NDX100 Daily Chart @ Close 12/17/2015
GAP below from Monday's 'High' Close @ 4571.2 in need of a Fill (not shown on the Daily Chart); the Error in NOT respecting the Long- Tail 4- Hour Candlestick Monday's Open Trade(signaling a S/T Low) & then our 'Audible' on Wednesday's Close > 4640 post the FED Rate Hike BUT.....amid Lower Crude $'s & Industrial Production #'s that left that nagging feeling......NOT necessarily Disciplined 'stuff' BUT @ times the Auto- Pilot can be disengaged.
So far so good with a reversal & losses; Trade Plan now to take back 1/2 Tactical Short should the GAP @ 4571.2 get closed.
Our S/L? Work in Progress.

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

NDX100: 'Mind the GAP' 4267.45 (Continued).......GAP Fill above.

NDX100 Daily Chart @ Close 12/15/2015
All part of the Frustration as 2015 comes to a Close; the GAP left Open @ 4619.98 NOW Filled in Tuesday Trade.
Losses from here required to maintain the Down- Side Momentum; a Daily Close above 4640 & Santa may yet be 'heard' from into early 2016.
Tactical Short from 4686 remains 'in play'; we know where the Stop is now (Basis the Daily Close > 4640)......with THAT Gap below in our sights @ 4267.45.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Mind the Gap in the NDX100 @ 4267.45......Tactically Short still.

NDX100 Daily Chart @ Close Friday 12/11/2015
The Transports may well be leading the 'charge' lower (see previous post on DJT); BUT it's the NDX100 where we are Short & 'seeking' a Closure of that outlying GAP @ 4267.
Our Tactical Short from 4686 (8 days back) still in play.

Wednesday, December 9, 2015

WTI: A Low or simply hesitation/ Indecision @ the Low?

WTI CFD: Daily Chart @ Close 12/08/2015
Whilst the 'Cash' Chart shows an Inside- Day; the CFD Chart (where the Speculators are) shows an Indecisive one.
Which to follow/ respect?
We'll know soon enough but still worthy of a mention as 'Uncharted Waters' lie beyond this spill in all things Commoditized?

Dow Transports the 'Canary'.....looking increasingly 'troubled'?

DJT Daily Chart @ Close 12/08/2015
If it's ALL about the Global Trade SLOWDOWN, and it is; then the Transports are surely sending us a timely signal that Santa could find himself 'grounded' in December as global trade #'s continue (China/ US) to warn us.

Friday, December 4, 2015

NDX100: "Fast & Furious".....followed by 'Frustrating & Fallible'.

NDX Daily Chart @ Close 12/03/2015
Stubbornness or otherwise; staying Short (Monday 11/23: 4686) has been rewarded amid frustrating trading conditions.
The stubbornly HIGH Put/ Call #'s (1.07) amid new highs for this Rally (Counter?) & another Outside- Down Day Wednesday....the Battle Lines are now drawn @ the Up- Trend Line circa the rising 50day SMA (Buy Cross) @ 4515/20.
Breach below that & Weekly Close BELOW the Critical 200day @ 4455/60 Support; Q1 2016 may prove to be 'historic'?